The Padres have three solid starting pitchers to lead the way for them in 2010 (Chris Young, Jon Garland and Kevin Correia). The rotation will be filled out by two youngsters who the Padres will need to step up. 30-year old righty Chris Young missed a large chunk of the season due to injury and the Padres can’t afford a repeat of that in 2010. Young started 14 games for the Padres last season and he was 4-6 with a 5.21 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP. In his four years with the Padres, Young has started 93 games in which he is 31-25 with a 3.70 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. His health is a big key to the Padres’ success in 2010.
30-year old righty Jon Garland is a solid innings eater. He started 33 games for the Dodgers & D-Backs last season and he was 11-13 with a 4.01 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. Garland has won at least 10 games for 8 years in a row now and I think he’ll make it 9 in a row in 2010. Garland’s stuff will likely play very well with him pitching half of his games at Petco Park.
29-year old righty Kevin Correia had a career year with the Padres in 2009 and they hope he will repeat it in 2010. Correia started 33 games for the Padres last season in which he was 12-11 with a 3.91 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Correia was a horse for the Padres last season and they will be depending on him to remain effective in 2010.
26-year old lefty Clayton Richard will likely win the #4 spot in the Padres’ rotation for 2010. He started 12 games for the Padres last season in which he was 5-2 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP. Richard pitched in 38 games (26 starts) overall for the White Sox & Padres last season and he was 9-5 with a 4.41 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP. If Richard starts pitching better on the road this season the Padres will have a double digit winner on their hands in 2010.
22-year old Mat Latos is the front runner for the #5 job in the Padres’ rotation. He started 10 games for the Padres last season in which he was 4-5 with a 4.62 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. He only gave up 43 hits in 50 2/3 innings for the Padres last season showing that he has swing and miss stuff. Latos also pitched in 13 games (11 starts) in A+AA-ball last year in which he was 8-1 with a 1.37 ERA and a 0.75 WHIP. Latos only gave up 42 hits while whiffing 73 batters in 72 1/3 innings in the minors last season. But the number that really sticks out to me was that he only walked 10 batters in the minors last year. Latos has a very nice upside.
25-year old lefty Wade LeBlanc is also in the competition for the #5 spot in the Padres’ rotation. He started 9 games for the Padres last season and he was 3-1 with a 3.69 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. He only gave up 35 hits in 46 1/3 innings in the majors last season showing he has decent stuff. LeBlanc also pitched in 24 games (20 starts) in AAA-ball last season and he was 4-9 with a 3.87 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP.
27-year old righty Tim Stauffer was pretty effective last season for the Padres. Stauffer started 14 games for the Padres last year and he was 4-7 with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP. If Stauffer doesn’t win the #5 job in the rotation this spring the Padres might keep him and use him as the long man in the pen.
24-year old righty Sean Gallagher could break into the starting rotation at some point in 2010 if he can stay healthy. Gallagher pitched in 8 games (0 starts) for the Padres last season and he was 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 1.88 WHIP. Gallagher pitched in 14 games (2 starts) overall for the Padres & A’s last season and he was 3-2 with a 5.95 ERA and a 1.93 WHIP. Gallagher needs to throw more strikes before the Padres can really trust him.
23-year old lefty Aaron Poreda was one of the big keys to the Jake Peavy trade last season. He is the Padres’ #10 rated prospect coming into this season according to Baseball America. Poreda pitched in 4 games (0 starts) for the Padres last season and he was 0-0 with a 3.86 ERA and a 2.57 WHIP. He pitched in 14 games (0 starts) overall for the Padres & White Sox in which he was 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP. Poreda also pitched in 20 games (19 starts) in AA+AAA ball last year in which he was 5-7 with a 3.95 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP. Poreda only allowed 83 hits in 107 innings in the minors last season while whiffing 108 batters, but, he also walked 75 hitters and that’s way too many. Until Poreda gets his control in order he probably won’t get a extended shot with the Padres. But, he has a big time upside.
PROJECTED GRADE FOR THE ROTATION IN 2010: C